Forecasting the Pittsburgh Mayoral Primary

We don’t envy political pollsters in a race like the Pittsburgh Mayoral Primary. When an election is likely to be decided by the votes of fewer than 45,000 city residents, even getting 400 people to answer a phone interview is no minor (or inexpensive) feat. Consider, moreover, that other public polls identified as much as […]

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A Little Free Data for the Pittsburgh Mayoral Candidates

We’re going to spend a lot of time tracking and forecasting the Pittsburgh Democratic Mayoral Primary this spring. Why you ask? Because there’s huge money in it? Because the entire world will be watching? No. Of course not. We’re doing it because we know that localized polling is getting harder and harder to do. Put […]

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Our Final (Reported) Numbers on the Allegheny County Exec Race

With 5 days to go until the Nov. 8 elections, we are happy to share our latest analysis on the election between Democratic County Executive Candidate Rich Fitzgerald and Republican Candidate D. Raja. We will run one final data mining exercise on Monday November 7th but will keep those numbers private until after the election. […]

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